Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 10.363739 11.829261 13.434064 15.322813 17.486357 19.888946 22.761801
2026-01-18 8.122872 9.981937 12.175757 14.959371 18.403259 22.532164 27.870260
2026-01-25 6.833173 8.848512 11.356514 14.714212 19.103949 24.664785 32.271323
2026-02-01 5.913586 7.993554 10.697340 14.480720 19.657500 26.521286 36.360667
2026-02-08 5.201749 7.297339 10.126261 14.239646 20.095646 28.175135 40.242309
2026-02-15 4.628756 6.712174 9.621098 13.998670 20.456426 29.690516 44.001630
2026-02-22 4.393224 6.569888 9.705881 14.578898 22.010526 32.999025 50.630653
2026-03-01 4.096881 6.302147 9.572141 14.805369 23.034470 35.583870 56.376871
2026-03-08 3.770017 5.952782 9.276828 14.744007 23.589052 37.471163 61.171282
2026-03-15 3.471092 5.616655 8.966790 14.620347 24.015207 39.165414 65.772539
2026-03-22 3.336149 5.528080 9.034734 15.102225 25.451420 42.587744 73.526450
2026-03-29 3.193938 5.413079 9.046053 15.483364 26.739553 45.853645 81.286746
2026-04-05 3.078723 5.336510 9.118831 15.982076 28.285428 49.712844 90.502683
2026-04-12 2.822595 4.995518 8.714154 15.612433 28.267873 50.833322 94.865549
2026-04-19 2.611446 4.715454 8.390928 15.355934 28.422502 52.257549 99.895722
2026-04-26 2.422965 4.460297 8.090365 15.111954 28.571633 53.669543 105.008640
2026-05-03 2.251116 4.221576 7.799997 14.860047 28.678014 54.997501 110.057946
2026-05-10 2.094918 3.999636 7.522846 14.608247 28.757923 56.269950 115.092958
2026-05-17 2.062192 4.010287 7.682511 15.214544 30.571693 61.072872 127.772350
2026-05-24 1.985255 3.928516 7.657815 15.451199 31.657536 64.502132 137.882667
2026-05-31 1.878989 3.780300 7.491756 15.387078 32.116738 66.681710 145.504074
2026-06-07 1.773677 3.626033 7.302013 15.257857 32.425768 68.566250 152.639475
2026-06-14 1.741741 3.619808 7.410480 15.761411 34.123337 73.530516 167.108061